热带病与寄生虫学

热带病与寄生虫学 ›› 2016, Vol. 14 ›› Issue (1): 3-5.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1672-2302.2016.01.002

• 特约专稿 • 上一篇    下一篇

2015年中国大陆流行性感冒流行特征分析

陈涛，杨静，汪立杰，祝菲，成艳辉，李越，严文婧，王大燕，舒跃龙*   

  1. 102206 北京市，中国疾病预防控制中心病毒病预防控制所感染性疾病诊治协同创新中心，国家卫生计生委医学病毒和病毒病重点实验室
  • 出版日期:2016-03-10 发布日期:2016-04-11

Analysis on the epidemiological characteristics of influenza in mainland China in 2015

Chen Tao, Yang Jing, Wang Lijie, Zhu Fei, Cheng Yanhui, Li Yue, Yan Wenjing, Wang Dayan, Shu Yuelong*   

  1. National Institute for Viral Disease Control and Prevention, Collaboration Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention; Key Laboratory for Medical Virology, National Health and Family Planning Commission, Beijing 102206, China.
  • Online:2016-03-10 Published:2016-04-11

PDF (PC)

1840

被引次数

14

摘要： 【摘要】 目的  对2015年流行性感冒的监测结果及流行特征进行分析总结，对2016的流行趋势进行预判。 方法  统计中国流感监测信息系统以及突发公共卫生事件信息管理系统2015年全年中国大陆地区的流感样病例（ILI）监测数据以及流感样病例爆发疫情数据。 结果  2015年夏季南方出现了流行高峰，北方维持在低水平，均为A（H3N2）亚型占绝对优势。南北方省份均在12月份开始相继进入2015~2016冬春季流感流行季节，甲型H1N1、A（H3N2）和B型共同流行。 结论  预计2016年2月下旬，流感活动水平将达到峰值，春夏季中国大陆省份将以甲型H1N1、 A（H3N2）和B型流感共同流行，但以甲型H1N1流感为主要流行株。

关键词: 中国大陆, 流行性感冒, 监测, 流行特征

Abstract:

【Abstract】 Objective  To predict the epidemic trends of influenza in mainland in China in 2016 through retrospective analysis of the surveillance data and epidemic characteristics in 2015. Methods  The data on influenza-like illness(ILI) and its outbreak were obtained from Chinese Influenza Surveillance Information System (CISIS) and Chinese Public Health Emergency Management Information System (PHEMIS)in 2015, and statistically analyzed. Results  Influenza was peaked in summer in south China in 2015, and maintained at a low level in north China, with subtype of influenza A(H3N2) being dominated. Provinces in both south and north China were in epidemic seasons in winter and spring of 2015 and 2016, and the viruses were associated with influenza A(H1N1/pdm09 virus, H3N2) and B. Conclusion  Influenza may be active and peaked in the third of February 2016, and the prevalence is associated with influenza A(H1N1/pdm09 virus, H3N2) and B viruses, with subtype A(H1N1)pdm09 virus being predominant strain.

Key words:  Mainland China, Influenza, Surveillance, Epidemiological characteristics