热带病与寄生虫学

热带病与寄生虫学 ›› 2017, Vol. 15 ›› Issue (1): 11-13,35.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1672-2302.2017.01.003

• 论著 • 上一篇    下一篇

2004~2011年湖南省血吸虫病流行程度时空特征研究

胡本骄，段宏波#，赵正元，李胜明，夏蒙，李广平，任光辉*   

  1. 414000 湖南岳阳市，湖南省血吸虫病防治所（胡本骄、赵正元、李胜明、夏蒙、李广平、任光辉），湖南省疾病预防控制中心（段宏波）；#共同第一作者，*通讯作者
  • 出版日期:2017-03-10 发布日期:2017-04-12
  • 基金资助:

    国家重大科技专项（2012ZX10004-909）

Investigation on the spatial-temporal characteristics of schistosomiasis in Hunan Province from 2004 to 2011

Hu Benjiao1, Duan Hongbo 2# , Zhao Zhengyuan1, Li Shengming1, Xia Meng1, Li Guangping1, Ren Guanghui1*   

  1. 1. Hunan Institute of Parasitic Diseases, WHO Collaborating Centre for Research and Control on Schistosomiasis in Lake Region, Yueyang 414000, China;  2. Hunan provincial Centre for Disease Control and Prevention.  # Co-first author.  * Corresponding Author
  • Online:2017-03-10 Published:2017-04-12

PDF (PC)

1057

摘要： 目的  探索2004~2011年湖南省血吸虫病流行程度的时空特征和变化规律。 方法  基于2004~2011年湖南省乡镇血吸虫病流行程度数据库，运用SPSS 17.0及地理信息系统软件（ArcGIS 10.1）描述和分析湖南省血吸虫病流行程度的时空特征。 结果  2004~2011年湖南省乡镇血吸虫病流行程度平均赋分值由3.1分下降至2.3分。全局自相关分析显示，2004~2011年乡镇流行程度Moran's I值为0.28~0.44，均高于期望值且具有统计学意义（Z> 7.15, P<0.05）；局部G统计量热点分析显示，2004~2011年正热点“高-高”（H-H）聚集乡镇主要为垸外有螺水系沿岸乡镇，年聚集乡镇数量为19~33个。结论  2004~2011年湖南省血吸虫病流行程度下降明显，2011年仍处于较高水平。湖南省血吸虫病流行存在明显正向空间自相关和聚集性；正热点“高-高”聚集区域可确定为下一步血吸虫病防治工作的重点。

关键词: 血吸虫病, 时空分布, 空间自相关, 洞庭湖

Abstract:

Objective  To investigate the spatial-temporal characteristics and changing rules of schistosomiasis in Hunan Province from 2004 through 2011. Methods The endemic characteristics of schistosomiasis were analyzed in accordance with the spatial database on schistosomiasis distribution in Hunan Province between 2004 and 201 using software SPPSS(version 17.0) and ArcGIS(version 10.1). Results The mean level for schistosomiasis in Hunan Province was decreased from 3.1 in 2004 to 2.3 in 2011. Autocorrelation analysis indicated that the infection rate of schistosomiasis ranged from 0.28 to 0.44 bweteen 2004 and 2011 in township by Moran's I value, which was higher than the expected value (Z>7.15, P<0.05). Local G statistics indicated that the positive high-high clustering areas by hotspots from 2004 to 2011 were primarily associated with townships outside the embankment with snail prevalence in water areas, and the annual number of townships with endemic schistosomiasis in the clustering areas was between 19 and 33. Conclusion The endemic level of schistosomiasis was significantly decreased in Hunan Province from 2004 through 2011, though remained at comparatively higher level in 2011, and the endemicity demonstrated significant positive spatial correlation and agglomerations. Following tasks on prevention and control of the schistosomiasis in Hunan Province should be targeted in high-high clustering areas.

Key words: Schistosomiasis, Spatial-temporal distribution, Spatial Autocorrelation, Dongting Lake